Service Plays Saturday 07/18/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL

SATURDAY, JULY 18

Game 405-406: Montreal at Saskatchewan
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 121.326; Saskatchewan 112.910
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 8 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-4 1/2); Over

Game 407-408: Winnipeg at Hamilton
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 110.398; Hamilton 103.238
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 7; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 1; 54
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-1); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL LONG SHEET


Week 3

Saturday, July 18

MONTREAL (2 - 0) at SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 0) - 7/18/2009, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 128-97 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 128-97 ATS (+21.3 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 86-52 ATS (+28.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 117-87 ATS (+21.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (1 - 1) at HAMILTON (1 - 1) - 7/18/2009, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 6-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL WRITE-UP

Week 3 CFL games

Saturday, July 18

Montreal (2-0) @ Saskatchewan (2-0)-- High-powered Alouettes scored 40-50 points in their first two games, completing 24-32 passes in both games (255-339 yards), while running ball for 294 yards. Riders are also 2-0, with 11 takeaways which offset their eight turnovers--they've been called for 21 penalties in two games-- they let up in 2nd half last week.

Winnipeg (1-1) @ Hamilton (1-1)-- Bombers have 305 rushing yards so far in two games, but they've completed less than half their passes both games, with former Louisville QB Lefors under center. TiCats got waxed at home by Toronto in opener, then went out west and shocked Lions as 13-point underdog. Favorites are 2-6 vs spread in CFL this season.

 

[Born2Booze]

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS

BELMONT PARK

Saturday, July 18, 2009

1st (Post time 1:00)

Race 1
4- Sand and Song

Race 2
3- War Bridle

Race 3
4- Olive Eye

Race 4
1- Spin Master

Race 5
4- Four Star General

Race 6
8- Yankee Empire

Race 7
7- Bella Cherokee
13- A. P. Light

Race 8
7- Conquer the Fear

Race 9
8- Premium Wine

Race 10
8- Go Go Bar
13- Top Lass

 

[szlem]

Guaranteed Pick: Ben Burns

Game: Montreal Alouettes at Saskatchewan Roughriders Jul 18 2009 3:00PM
Prediction: under
*TOM

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Twins Friday night.

Today it's the Twins. The surplus is 1025 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

July 18, 2009

Skipper Fredi Gonzalez's fingerprints were all over the Marlins' loss last night, as he pitched to Chase Utley with first base open in the 12th, but then inten tionally walked .214 hitter Paul Bako in the same situa tion. Those borderline-insane decisions led to a Fish loss that trimmed Hondo's already skimpy earnings to a super-slim 15 smalleys.

Tonight, he won't be putting his dough on Baker. In stead, he'll roll with Feldman -- 10 units on Texas to mess with Minnesota.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

SATURDAY, JULY 18

NATIONAL LEAGUE


Philadelphia (50-38) at Florida (46-46)


The red-hot Phillies will try to make it three in a row over the Marlins and eight in a row overall when they send Joe Blanton (6-4, 4.44 ERA) to the mound at Land Shark Stadium to face the Marlins and their ace, Josh Johnson (8-2, 2.74).


Philadelphia scored a 6-5 win in 12 innings on Friday, plating two runs in the 12th and surviving a shaky bottom of the inning from closer Brad Lidge for the win. The Phils have now won eight of their last 10 against the Marlins, including seven straight in Florida, plus 11 of their last 12 overall and 15 of their last 21 divisional games. They also continue to have baseball’s best road mark at 28-15.


Even with back-to-back losses Thursday and Friday, Florida has won 10 of its last 13 at home and is 16-5 in its last 21 as a favorite.


Blanton finished the first half in style, going 2-0 in his final three starts with a 1.83 ERA. He blanked the Mets at home on four hits over 7 1/3 innings of a 2-0 win on July 5 and then allowed one run on four hits in 7 1/3 innings of a 3-2 home win over the Pirates on July 10. He dominated the Marlins back on May 26, blanking them on five hits over seven innings of a 5-3 win, striking out 11 and walking two.


The Phillies are a perfect 3-0 in games Blanton has started against Florida over the last two seasons. Philadelphia is also 11-4 in his last 15 outings against the N.L. East, but 0-4 in his last four as a ‘dog and 0-4 in his last four against teams with winning records.


Johnson has been a beast in South Beach this season, going 4-1 with a 1.98 ERA in 68 1/3 innings. He hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last 10 outings overall, and on Sunday he held the Diamondbacks to one run on seven hits in 6 2/3 innings of an 8-1 victory.


Johnson faced the Phillies on April 24 and shut them down on three hits for seven innings, but got a no-decision in his team’s 7-3 loss. Florida is 4-2 in his six starts against Philadelphia since 2006, and with Johnson pitching, the Fish are on additional runs of 25-8 overall, 13-3 at home, 23-6 against N.L. East foes, 5-0 on Saturdays and 13-3 as a favorite.


With Blanton on the mound, the Phillies are on “under” runs of 6-1-2 overall, 4-0 on Saturday, 4-1-1 as a road ‘dog and 6-2 on the road against teams with a winning record. As a team, Philadelphia is on “under” streaks of 9-4 overall, 4-1-1 as a road ‘dog, 5-1 against the N.L. East and 5-0 in the third game of a series.


With Johnson pitching, Florida is on “under” runs of 5-2-2 as a home favorite, 5-1-3 as a favorite and 4-1-1 at home against winning teams. As a team, the Marlins carry “under” trends of 8-3-1 against the N.L. East, 4-0-1 as a favorite, 4-0 on Saturdays and 5-2 against teams with winning records.


Finally, in this series, the over is 54-24-3 in the last 81 meetings in Florida and 5-1 in Johnson’s last six starts against the Phillies, but the “under” is 4-1 in the last five overall.


ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and UNDER




AMERICAN LEAGUE


Detroit (48-40) at N.Y. Yankees (52-37)


The Tigers are slated to send All-Star Edwin Jackson (10-4, 3.38 ERA) to the mound opposite lefty CC Sabathia (8-6, 3.86) at Yankee Stadium as Detroit tries to stop a three-game losing streak to the Bronx Bombers.


New York used a three-run seventh inning to score a 5-3 win over the Tigers on Friday, snapping a three-game team losing skid that stretched to last weekend’s series at the Angels. New York is 22-9 in the last 31 meetings with the Tigers in the Big Apple and 5-1 in the last six clashes overall.


The Yankees are on further streaks of 14-5 overall, 23-6 against the A.L. Central, 10-2 against right-handed starters and 13-5 against teams with winning records. Meanwhile, Detroit is just 4-11 in its last 15 roadies and 2-8 in its last 10 against the A.L. East, but the Tigers are on runs of 7-3 against winning teams and 18-8 against southpaws.


Verlander entered the All-Star break with a gem, blanking the Indians on five hits over six innings en route to Sunday’s 10-1 home victory. The veteran right-hander has won consecutive starts – notching 19 strikeouts in the process – and he’s given up three earned runs or fewer in 13 of his last 15 outings. However, he’s just 4-4 with a 4.98 ERA in 11 road starts, including 0-2 with a 7.04 ERA in his last three as a visitor (all Detroit losses).


Verlander is 3-1 with a 4.85 ERA in five career regular-season starts against New York, including a dominating 4-2 home win on April 27 when he scattered seven hits and struck out nine over seven scoreless innings, beating Sabathia. In fact, these two hurlers have faced off five times over the years, with Verlander going 3-1 with a 3.31 ERA, compared with Sabathia’s 2-3 mark with a 6.21 ERA.


Sabathia has been hit hard lately, giving up 12 runs in his last 19 1/3 innings, losing two of the three starts. Last time he pitched in front of the home fans, he allowed six runs on 10 hits over 5 2/3 innings of an 8-4 loss to the Mariners. In the April 27 start against Detroit, the hefty lefty allowed four runs on six hits in eight innings. Going back to his days with the Indians, Sabathia is 3-6 with a 5.16 ERA in his last 10 starts against Detroit, yielding four runs or more in half of those 10 outings.


Detroit is on “under” runs of 12-3 overall, 8-1 on the road, 6-2 against the A.L. East and 4-0 on the road against left-handed starters, but the “over” is 8-3 in Verlander’s 11 road starts. For the Yankees, with Sabathia on the hill, the “over” is on runs of 5-0 overall, 6-2 at home and 4-0 against teams with winning records. As a team, the Yankees have topped the total in four of five overall, four of six at home and five of seven against right-handers. Finally, in this series, the over is 5-3 in the last eight meetings.


ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

 

[DINGOD]

sebas post all star game system

not sure if this was posted yet. but the system is to go against any pitcher who played in the all star game the following start. save u 99 bucks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

41-23 run on Bonus Plays

Sat Florida Marlins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Rangers
Mets

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Tampa Bay at Kansas City

The Rays look to build on their 5-1 record in Scott Kazmir's last 6 starts as a road underdog between +110 and +150. Tampa Bay is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, JULY 18
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: NY Mets at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.504; Atlanta (Kawakami) 15.192
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+105); Over
Game 903-904: San Francisco at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.597; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.510
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+110); Under
Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 14.597; Washington (Zimmermann) 15.106
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Over
Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 14.886; Cincinnati (Harang) 13.787
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+120); Under
Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.370; Florida (Johnson) 16.629
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Florida (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-130); Under
Game 911-912: Arizona at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 14.986; St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.113
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 913-914: Colorado at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 14.521; San Diego (Correia) 14.955
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Over
Game 915-916: Houston at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Hampton) 15.442; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.143
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+160); Under
Game 917-918: Boston at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Penny) 15.348; Toronto (Rzepczynski) 15.851
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Under
Game 919-920: Detroit at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.067; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.634
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 921-922: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Bergesen) 14.860; White Sox (Buehrle) 16.099
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 923-924: LA Angels at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 17.313; Oakland (Mazzaro) 16.288
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-125); Over
Game 925-926: Seattle at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Washburn) 15.873; Cleveland (Ohka) 14.144
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 14.750; Kansas City (Greinke) 14.012
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+130); Over
Game 929-930: Minnesota at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.071; Texas (Feldman) 14.441
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Detroit at Phoenix

The Mercury look to build on their 14-3 ATS record in their last 17 home games. Phoenix is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, JULY 18
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: New York at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: New York 110.768; Washington 108.847
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 2; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2); Over
Game 603-604: Detroit at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 109.201; Phoenix 116.193
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 171
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 173 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SAFEST WAGERS

BELMONT: Saturday, July 18th, 2009

Race 7) 7 Furlongs Clm Clm 25000N2L Selections: 12/4/7/9

# 12 Dressed To Win*
They can't find the winners circle! This fielld has a combined
12 wins in 231 starts. Our top choice finally has a shot to graduate
to her next level of futility.
Connections were high on her (aren't we all), and reluctant to
drop into the claiming ranks for too long. Her last start the distance was
too much, but she was competitive against 2 horses who were next
out winners. In prior, she was in against better and didn't like the
track condition. Her showing in race before that..... beats these.

Safer Bet:
a) # 12 to Win, Place or Show

Exotics:
b) Trifecta Box: 4/7/9/12

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Sports Investing Professional

Todays Play(s) - There are 2 worthy games on Saturday.
First...the Dodgers. I'm pretty sure everyone and their mother
is going to have the Dodgers tonight but with good reason...
Kershaw has been real good as of late and LA is one of the top
home teams in MLB.


Our second play is down in Texas. The Rangers are one of the
best home teams and Minnesota is one of the bottom on the road.
A good pitching matchup and a nice price certainly makes the
Rangers worth an investment.


MLB - LA Dodgers -180[LISTED} Hampton / Kershaw....900.00 / 500.00


MLB - Texas Rangers -125[LISTED} Baker / Feldman....625.00 / 500.00

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr. A's

Saturday, July 18th, 2009, 4:05 PM EST.
Baltimore Orioles (40-49) at Chicago White Sox (46-43)
(R) Brad Bergesen (6-3) vs. (L) Mark Buehrle (9-3)
Oddsmakers: Chicago as a -155 home favorite with the total listed at 9 'over'.

Chicago White Sox -155

Saturday, July 18th, 2009, 10:10 PM EST.
Houston Astros (46-44) at Los Angeles Dodgers (56-34)
(L) Mike Hampton (5-6) vs. (L) Clayton Kershaw (7-5)
Oddsmakers: Los Angeles as a -185 home favorite with the total listed at 8 'over'.

Los Angeles Dodgers -185

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Spreitzer mlb total goy

under cards & d-backs

 

[cork999]

Craig Davis
Saturday's Lineup
40 Dime ---- MARINERS (With Washburn and Ohka as listed pitchers)

SEATTLE MARINERS (with Washburn and Ohka as listed pitchers) --- One play, one big winner today. We will ride the small momentum from last night's winning performance with a fairly big win this afternoon. Look back at my history... when I release just one play, I win more often than not. I've looked up and down this card and I just can't justify asking you to pay me to give you a selection that I don't have 100% confidence in. There was one play, however, that I feel you should step out on with absolute certainty... and that's the Seattle Mariners over Cleveland with Jarrod Washburn on the hill.

These two teams have met just twice so far this year, with each earning a win over the last two days. The difference? Starting pitching. Cliff Lee dominated the Mariners for seven innings Thursday as the Indians had no trouble earning a 4-1 home win. On Friday night, Felix Hernandez turned the tables, tossing 8 innings of 5-hit ball, striking out 8 in a 6-2 win for the Mariners.

Today the M's have a chance to keep pace in the AL West if they can get by Tomo Ohka and the Indians. Yes, the Indians. Aside from Lee, Cleveland is really struggling to find some solid starting pitching... and that doesn't even take into account how poorly the bullpen has performed. This afternoon, the Indians throw Tomo Ohka back out on the hill in an attempt to stop the bleeding, but it's simply not going to happen. Ohka has been flat out awful this year, posting a 6.40 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in four game started. The funny thing about Ohka is that he's gone back and forth from the bullpen to the rotation and back and forth again. The Indians can't figure out what to do with him because they are so thin in the starting five. Ohka does better out of the 'pen, but they can't afford NOT to have him in the rotation. Ohka's ERA vs. Seattle (after only facing them twice in his career) is 5.73 (7 ERs in 11 IP) and he hasn't beaten them in either try. Nothing whatsoever tells me that's going to change today.

Washburn, on the other hand, has been absolutely sizzling hot recently and might actually be pitching better than Felix Hernandez. Washburn has allowed just one earned run in his last 16 innings of work and has pushed his record up to 6-6 after a very slow start to the season. For the season, Washburn 2.96 ERA

th a WHIP barely above 1.00 and his strikeout to walk ratio is nearly 3:1. No matter if he was facing the Indians at home or on the road, they just don't have enough firepower on offense to put a scare into anyone.

Seattle is 5-1 in Washburn's last 6 starts and 5-2 in their last seven vs. a right-handed starter on the road. The Indians, meanwhile, are 1-4 in their last five vs. a lefty, 1-5 in their last six vs. a team with a winning record, and 0-4 in Ohka's last four starts. This one's easy... it's Washburn and the Mariners in an easy win.



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz Bonus Play

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